In keeping with IMD, the seasonal rainfall was 108% of the long-period common (LPA) from June to September. Monsoon between 96-104% of the LPA is taken into account regular. (Representational photograph/PTI)
Although delayed by over every week, the monsoon will withdraw from northwest and central India this week. Nonetheless, India remains to be anticipated to get extra rains in October, as per IMD
The four-month monsoon season has drawn to a detailed with above-normal rains over India. The drought-prone areas of West Rajasthan and Saurashtra-Kachchh grew to become the wettest this season with +70% greater than normal rains, whereas the important thing agricultural state of Punjab noticed a shortfall of practically -28%.
In keeping with India Meteorological Division (IMD) chief Dr M Mohapatra, this was largely because of the 14 low-pressure programs which shaped over the Bay of Bengal, most of which travelled alongside central India, Rajasthan and Gujarat in direction of the Arabian Sea. Only a few of them moved in direction of the foothills of the Himalayas, therefore the deficit in Punjab (-28%) and Jammu and Kashmir (-26%).
These climate programs are accountable for almost all of the rain throughout the season, and may intensify to develop into ‘depressions/deep depressions’. “After a very long time, we bought so many intensified programs. There have been six such depressions, usually we’ve got been getting solely 3-4 over the last 20 years. Total, it was a great monsoon 12 months. Almost 89% of the sub-divisional space of the nation noticed regular to above-normal rains. It was under regular within the remaining 11%,” he added.
In keeping with IMD, the seasonal rainfall was 108% of the long-period common (LPA) from June to September. Monsoon between 96-104% of the LPA is taken into account regular.
The monsoon was powered by 14 low-pressure programs in opposition to the conventional of 13, however they lasted for practically 69 days in comparison with the same old 55. Six of them intensified and certainly one of them changed into a uncommon cyclonic storm, Asna, which triggered disastrous rain spells over Gujarat and adjoining Rajasthan districts.
Area-wise, solely northeast India recorded below-normal rains (86% of LPA), whereas it was ‘above-normal’ over northwest India (107%), central India (119%), and the south peninsula (114% of LPA).
Sub-division-wise, the deficit continued in Punjab (-28%), Jammu and Kashmir (-26%), and Arunachal Pradesh (-28%). One other main purpose for the poor rain in north India was the southward place of the monsoon trough for a lot of the season. Additionally, there have been no main western disturbances all by way of the season, which might have made up for the shortfall within the Himalayan foothills.
MONSOON WITHDRAWAL FROM NORTHWEST INDIA THIS WEEK
The monsoon has already begun its withdrawal from west Rajasthan on September 23. Nonetheless, its retreat from north-western states has been delayed once more this 12 months. Forecasters predict it might take one other week to retreat from Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh and elements of Uttarakhand.
However IMD has nonetheless indicated a excessive likelihood of extra rains in October – which might be 115% of the long-period common (LPA). The rains are prone to be ‘above-normal’ over most elements of the nation, besides some elements of northeast and northwest India like Punjab.
EXCESS RAINS IN SOUTHERN PENINSULA THIS WINTER
In the meantime, the southern peninsula is bracing for its ‘winter monsoon’ – the north-east monsoon which usually arrives over the southern coast by October 15. It’s accountable for bringing 30% of the annual rainfall over the 5 subdivisions of Tamil Nadu-Puducherry, Kerala, south inside Karnataka, Rayalaseema, and coastal Andhra Pradesh throughout October-December.
In keeping with IMD, the area is prone to witness above-normal rains throughout this era – at the least 112% above the long-period common (LPA). “There’s a good likelihood of ‘above-normal’ rains for your entire southeast peninsula this 12 months. Nonetheless, it might be near-normal in Tamil Nadu because the state normally doesn’t get superb rains throughout a La-Nina 12 months. Nonetheless, the precise image will get clear as soon as the north-east monsoon units in,” stated the IMD chief on Tuesday.
